Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.001663 0.001772 0.001885 0.002011 0.002147 0.002291 0.002453
2025-01-12 0.001471 0.001621 0.001783 0.001971 0.002183 0.002417 0.002694
2025-01-19 0.001349 0.001525 0.001720 0.001954 0.002228 0.002540 0.002925
2025-01-26 0.001220 0.001406 0.001618 0.001878 0.002191 0.002558 0.003024
2025-02-02 0.001183 0.001388 0.001627 0.001928 0.002299 0.002747 0.003334
2025-02-09 0.001144 0.001364 0.001625 0.001960 0.002385 0.002910 0.003617
2025-02-16 0.001134 0.001373 0.001662 0.002042 0.002533 0.003155 0.004016
2025-02-23 0.001089 0.001335 0.001637 0.002041 0.002574 0.003264 0.004240
2025-03-02 0.001022 0.001266 0.001570 0.001982 0.002533 0.003260 0.004309
2025-03-09 0.000970 0.001213 0.001520 0.001942 0.002516 0.003284 0.004416
2025-03-16 0.000937 0.001184 0.001499 0.001938 0.002545 0.003372 0.004615
2025-03-23 0.000897 0.001144 0.001462 0.001911 0.002540 0.003411 0.004744
2025-03-30 0.000859 0.001107 0.001431 0.001896 0.002558 0.003493 0.004957
2025-04-06 0.000816 0.001061 0.001387 0.001860 0.002546 0.003532 0.005110
2025-04-13 0.000783 0.001028 0.001358 0.001845 0.002562 0.003612 0.005329
2025-04-20 0.000733 0.000971 0.001294 0.001774 0.002491 0.003558 0.005333
2025-04-27 0.000726 0.000972 0.001310 0.001821 0.002598 0.003778 0.005791
2025-05-04 0.000714 0.000965 0.001315 0.001851 0.002681 0.003965 0.006209
2025-05-11 0.000717 0.000979 0.001349 0.001927 0.002837 0.004278 0.006863
2025-05-18 0.000697 0.000960 0.001335 0.001927 0.002874 0.004397 0.007190
2025-05-25 0.000663 0.000918 0.001286 0.001871 0.002817 0.004360 0.007232
2025-06-01 0.000636 0.000886 0.001250 0.001834 0.002790 0.004368 0.007358
2025-06-08 0.000619 0.000869 0.001235 0.001830 0.002816 0.004470 0.007663